Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.000192 0.000215 0.000239 0.000267 0.000298 0.000332 0.000372
2025-01-12 0.000159 0.000190 0.000225 0.000267 0.000318 0.000377 0.000450
2025-01-19 0.000136 0.000172 0.000214 0.000269 0.000338 0.000423 0.000534
2025-01-26 0.000117 0.000154 0.000201 0.000266 0.000351 0.000460 0.000610
2025-02-02 0.000107 0.000148 0.000201 0.000277 0.000383 0.000523 0.000726
2025-02-09 0.000096 0.000138 0.000196 0.000281 0.000404 0.000575 0.000831
2025-02-16 0.000087 0.000130 0.000191 0.000284 0.000424 0.000624 0.000937
2025-02-23 0.000079 0.000122 0.000184 0.000284 0.000437 0.000666 0.001036
2025-03-02 0.000071 0.000112 0.000176 0.000279 0.000443 0.000697 0.001119
2025-03-09 0.000064 0.000105 0.000170 0.000277 0.000454 0.000735 0.001218
2025-03-16 0.000059 0.000100 0.000165 0.000277 0.000467 0.000778 0.001326
2025-03-23 0.000055 0.000095 0.000161 0.000278 0.000482 0.000823 0.001443
2025-03-30 0.000050 0.000089 0.000155 0.000275 0.000489 0.000859 0.001551
2025-04-06 0.000046 0.000084 0.000151 0.000275 0.000503 0.000908 0.001685
2025-04-13 0.000043 0.000081 0.000148 0.000277 0.000520 0.000963 0.001838
2025-04-20 0.000039 0.000076 0.000142 0.000273 0.000527 0.001000 0.001961
2025-04-27 0.000038 0.000075 0.000145 0.000285 0.000564 0.001098 0.002209
2025-05-04 0.000036 0.000073 0.000143 0.000289 0.000586 0.001168 0.002410
2025-05-11 0.000034 0.000070 0.000142 0.000292 0.000606 0.001236 0.002614
2025-05-18 0.000032 0.000067 0.000138 0.000292 0.000618 0.001290 0.002792
2025-05-25 0.000029 0.000063 0.000133 0.000286 0.000621 0.001323 0.002930
2025-06-01 0.000027 0.000060 0.000129 0.000285 0.000631 0.001373 0.003109
2025-06-08 0.000026 0.000058 0.000127 0.000285 0.000645 0.001432 0.003313